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Mostly True 30 fact-checks

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1 Mostly True2 Mixed3 False

Originalism When Convenient: A Case-by-Case Audit of the Conservative Supreme Court's Own Standard

The conservative majority says it decides by text, history, and tradition. A case-by-case audit of six landmark rulings finds the method applied where it helps and set aside where it would not.

3 True1 Mostly True1 Mixed

The $1.776 Billion Anti-Weaponization Fund: Where the Money Comes From, Where It Goes, and What's Legal

Trump created a $1.776B taxpayer fund to compensate allies he says Biden 'wronged' — funded by a permanent Treasury account, overseen by his own appointees, with Jan. 6 defendants eligible to claim.

4 True2 Mostly True

Itamar Ben-Gvir: From Convicted Extremist to Minister — And What America Isn't Seeing

A convicted supporter of a terrorist organization now runs Israel's police — and the US both condemns and enables him while Europe fights back.

3 True2 Mostly True1 Misleading

Hegseth vs. Murray: The Iran War's Price Tag, Fact-Checked

Pentagon claims $29B for the Iran war; independent estimates say $50–72B. Murray's core claims hold up. Hegseth's framing that 'previous presidents' let Iran go nuclear omits that Trump himself…

1 Mostly True2 Misleading1 False

3,711 Trades: A Fact-Check of Trump's Presidential Stock Portfolio

Trump filed 3,711 stock trades worth $220M-$750M in Q1 2026 — including unsolicited purchases in companies he praised the same day, contradicting blind-trust claims and exploiting a legal exemption…

1 True1 Mostly True1 Mixed3 Misleading

Palantir, the Minab School Strike, and AI Warfare: A Fact-Check

A viral Reddit post claims Palantir’s AI autonomously bombed an Iranian school using outdated Google Maps data — the core tragedy is real but several key details are wrong or exaggerated.

1 True1 Mostly True2 Misleading1 False

Is the Iran War "Worse Than Vietnam"? Fact-Checking Foreign Policy's Verdict

Foreign Policy's facts on the 2026 Iran war check out; its 'defeat worse than Vietnam' verdict is a contested argument, and real upsides for Trump exist that it minimizes.

4 True2 Mostly True1 Mixed1 Unproven

The Mashed Potato Incident: Fact-Checking Trump's "Origin Story"

Genuine family lore, and most corroborating quotes hold up, but the essay mislocates one story, cites two untraceable quotes, and oversells one childhood humiliation as the cause of the whole man.

1 True3 Mostly True1 Misleading1 False

The "Two Santas" Strategy: A Fact-Check

Fact-checking the viral "Two Santa Clauses" essay on GOP vs. Democratic economic strategy: the core thesis holds up, but several headline details are wrong.

2 True1 Mostly True1 Contested1 False

Was Trump's Iran Deal a "Catastrophic Capitulation" for Israel?

The NYT's reporting on Israel's shock is accurate, but its 'none of Israel's war aims' verdict omits Israel's real tactical wins, and the Lebanon-withdrawal claim remains contested.

2 True1 Mostly True2 Misleading

"Russia Already Lost"? Fact-Checking the Drone-War Claim

Ukraine's deep-strike drone campaign is real and escalating, but the viral claim that Russia 'already lost the war' outruns the evidence; experts see a prolonged stalemate.

2 True1 Mostly True1 Unproven1 Misleading1 Contested2 False

Fact-Check: Trump's Truth Social Attack on Maggie Haberman's "Regime Change"

Trump calls the co-authored Regime Change book 'largely fiction' — but his own White House confirmed its accuracy. His electoral stats are mostly correct; his tape denial is unproven; his Iran…

3 True3 Mostly True1 Mixed

Jeffries on the Mail-Ballot Ruling: Seven Claims, Checked

After the Supreme Court upheld state grace periods for mail ballots, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries indicted Trump's whole record. The facts mostly hold; the framing is partisan.

3 True1 Mostly True

Humphrey's Executor Is Dead: Fact-Checking the FTC Firing Ruling

NPR reported the Supreme Court handed Trump at-will power over the independent agencies. We checked every load-bearing claim against the opinion itself: the reporting holds.

1 True2 Mostly True1 Mixed1 False

Did the Supreme Court 'Take Restrictions Off Political Spending'?

Trump says the Court removed limits on political spending; a critic says it lets billionaires buy elections. It struck one limit, on coordinated party spending. Here's what fell and what it changes.

2 True1 Mostly True1 False

Did Trump Buy a Taser Maker's Stock Before ICE Sought a $220M Deal?

A viral tweet says Trump bought Axon stock two weeks before ICE went looking for $220M in tasers, and that it's 'super illegal.' The trade is real and CNBC-documented. The 'illegal' part is not.

3 True1 Mostly True1 Misleading1 False

Fact-Checking 'Trump's Biggest Failure': The Op-Ed vs. the Data

A Common Dreams column calls Trump the biggest failure in recent presidential history. Its sourced numbers mostly hold; 'hyperinflation' and 'tanked the economy' do not.

1 Mostly True1 Mixed3 Misleading2 False

Trump's Gas Price Post: Six of Seven Claims Fail the Numbers

WTI crude settled at $70.56 on June 29, not $68; gas prices had already fallen 53 cents/gallon in one month; $2.50/gallon is mathematically impossible at current crude costs; no federal price…

2 True1 Mostly True2 Unproven

Trump Family Foreign Deals: Abuse of Office, Hunter Biden Redux, or Illegal?

The Trump Org did zero foreign deals in term one and eight in term two, plus crypto billions from foreign-linked entities. We check the facts and answer three questions: abuse, hypocrisy, legality.

2 True1 Mostly True1 Mixed1 Unproven

Disaster Aid by Party & the 'Stolen' 250th: Two Threads, Checked

Trump withheld FEMA aid from blue states (23% vs 89%) and tied it to his candidates; Democrats allege his fundraisers diverted America250 donations to Freedom 250. Proven, alleged, illegal, sorted.

1 Mostly True

Does a Civil Judgment "Prove" Trump Raped Someone?

A civil jury found Trump liable for sexual abuse; the trial judge ruled that finding is rape as commonly understood. It is a civil finding, not a criminal conviction.

1 Mostly True1 Misleading3 False

The "Black-on-White Crime Epidemic" Claim: What the Government's Own Numbers Say

The raw figures in the viral post are mostly real. The epidemic they are arranged to prove is contradicted by the same government tables they came from.

1 Mostly True2 Misleading

Trump's Toyota-Texas Post: What the Announcement Actually Says

Toyota is shifting Tacoma pickup production from one Baja California plant to Texas in a $3.6B investment, but maintains Mexico operations and cited USMCA uncertainty rather than endorsing tariff…

1 Mostly True

Has Education Overtaken Race as America's Key Ideological Divider?

Mostly True — a peer-reviewed PNAS Nexus study confirms education-based ideology gaps (0.72 SD) now exceed racial gaps (0.27 SD), but race still dominates actual voting behavior by a 1.7× wider…

3 True3 Mostly True1 Mixed2 Misleading

Fact-Check: Hegseth's Pastor and the Pentagon Pulpit

The viral Wilson/NPR claim is substantially accurate but overstates in three ways: "all women" misrepresents household voting, Wilson is not technically Hegseth's pastor, and the Pentagon sermon was…

2 True1 Mostly True1 Misleading1 False

NY Millionaire Flight and $5K Rents: What the Data Shows, and What Mamdani Has to Do with It

The CBC tax-revenue and rent figures are real, but the viral post misattributes a 12-year trend to a mayor who has been in office six months and misrepresents undocumented immigration as the cause…

1 Mostly True1 Mixed1 Misleading3 False

Trump's Canada Wildfire Post: Negligence, Tariffs, and What the Science Says

Three of six claims are False (Canada 'refused to engage,' 'willful negligence,' and adding pollution costs to tariffs — which have no legal mechanism post-IEEPA); two are Misleading (forest…

1 Mostly True2 Misleading

Trump's 52,000 Iran Protester-Death Claim, Fact-Checked

Trump's 52,000 protester-death figure exceeds every independent estimate 7-fold; his Netanyahu pledge is legally grounded; and the Iran war-directive claim to military leadership is mostly true.

1 Mostly True3 Misleading

NJ's Noncitizen Voter Registration: What the Software Error Actually Shows

A real 12-month software error enrolled 6,600 noncitizens in NJ voter rolls and produced roughly 400 votes spread across party lines — but the post's three framing claims collapse: the governor…

1 Mostly True2 False

Vaccines Do Not Cause Autism: What 40 Years of Research Shows, and What RFK Jr. Changed at the CDC

More than 40 large-scale studies covering 5.6 million children found no vaccine-autism link. The claim's only scientific source was fabricated for money and retracted in 2010. Under RFK Jr., the CDC…

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