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The Denial Thesis: Checking a Popular Argument About Trump’s Voters
The individual facts in the argument mostly hold. The causal story bolted onto them does not, and on the two claims where the data can test a sequence, the arrow runs the other way.
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The traffic pattern is real and it is not a Republican phenomenon. The 2016 Democratic convention produced the largest spike on record. The word doing the most work is ‘crash.’
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Trump justified two rounds of strikes on Iran with claims of imminent weaponization. His own intelligence agencies assessed otherwise, including in writing that Iran was not rebuilding.
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