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Topic: midterms

2 True1 Misleading5 False

Trump’s Third Dividend Promise

A $5,000 check to every adult, if Republicans keep Congress. Two earlier per-person dividend promises produced no payments. The one that did pay was already funded by Congress.

1 True1 Mixed1 Unproven2 Misleading1 False

Trump’s ‘National Scallops Day’: What the Post Gets Right, Leaves Out, and Gets Wrong

The NOAA action opening the Northern Edge of Georges Bank is real, but the post misattributes a 32-year-old Clinton-era closure to Obama and Biden, falsely credits Biden as co-creator of the…

Analysis

Trump’s Approval Craters to 38.6% as Democrats Lead by 7 Points

Models predict a 28 to 46 House seat loss this cycle, and recent midterm polling has been historically accurate. This is the data behind the collapse.

Analysis

Is He Really Polling This Badly? A Data-Driven Midterm Reality Check

Trump is at 38.6% approval, the lowest of either term. Historical models predict 37-46 House seat losses. Even a 2020-sized polling error leaves Democrats ahead.

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