Topic: polarization
The Denial Thesis: Checking a Popular Argument About Trump’s Voters
The individual facts in the argument mostly hold. The causal story bolted onto them does not, and on the two claims where the data can test a sequence, the arrow runs the other way.
Has Education Overtaken Race as America’s Key Ideological Divider?
Mostly True — a peer-reviewed PNAS Nexus study confirms education-based ideology gaps (0.72 SD) now exceed racial gaps (0.27 SD), but race still dominates actual voting behavior by a 1.7× wider…
Can America Actually Split? The National Divorce Feasibility Analysis
Americans agree on 70% of policies but think they disagree on everything — a national split is geographically impossible, economically suicidal, militarily unthinkable, and constitutionally void.