Crosscheck

Cited, verified accountability journalism.

Topic: polling

Analysis

Is He Really Polling This Badly? A Data-Driven Midterm Reality Check

Trump is at 38.6% approval — the lowest of either term. Historical models predict 37-46 House seat losses. Even a 2020-sized polling error leaves Democrats ahead.

Analysis

The Rigging Is Legal: How One Party Systematically Engineers Electoral Advantage While Crying Fraud

Republicans engineered 15-17 new House districts through gerrymandering and a stacked Supreme Court gutted the Voting Rights Act — yet they're still trailing Democrats by 5-10 points heading into…